
8-1-2022 Monkeypox, GDP Numbers and Bob McWhirter's new Book
Season 2022 Episode 147 | 27mVideo has Closed Captions
Monkeypox, GDP Numbers
With Monkeypox cases on the rise, a global health emergency has been declared by the World Health Organization. While, GDP numbers were released. Is the United States headed for another recession? "Fixing the Framers' Failure is a new book coming out focusing on the 13th, 14th, and 15th Amendments and America's New Birth of Freedom.”
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Arizona Horizon is a local public television program presented by Arizona PBS

8-1-2022 Monkeypox, GDP Numbers and Bob McWhirter's new Book
Season 2022 Episode 147 | 27mVideo has Closed Captions
With Monkeypox cases on the rise, a global health emergency has been declared by the World Health Organization. While, GDP numbers were released. Is the United States headed for another recession? "Fixing the Framers' Failure is a new book coming out focusing on the 13th, 14th, and 15th Amendments and America's New Birth of Freedom.”
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Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorship>> In the next hour, on Arizona horizon, Monkeypox has been declared a global emergency and what you need to know and that's next on Arizona horizon.
Good evening and welcome to "Arizona horizon."
Well, there are reports over the weekend, the U.S. killed an alQaeda leader in a tone strike.
The death of Ayman al home run Zawahri has not been confirmed and it occurred in Afghanistan.
The trial for Brittney Griner confirmed and charged with possessing a small at of cannabis and a new deal that could free Brittney Griner.
The Kremlin added a convicted murder held in Germany as a swap for Brittney Griner and Wheelin the deal to swap his client and the other Russian prisoner, they think it will work.
>> I'm confident this will get done.
>>> A new poll by OH insights predict how the people in Arizona feel about the poll and they see 43% refeel it's favorable and the poll found that two-thirds of Arizona voters are in support of term limits for justices and 40% want to see the court e panded.
expanded.
>>> TheThis covered a wide range of areas in exincluding lack of growth in math and English.
>> As we can see by this table which shows by grade English language and mathematic's growth 2019 to 2021, as we can see by this table, it was dramatically impacted both English language arts and mathematics, we saw dramatic growth.
The bick takeThe big take away, the most high achieving schools had slower growth or losses during the pandemic.
>> In international news, there was a north in Ukraine since the first time after the attack by Russia and a ship carrying more than 25,000metric tons of corn headed for Tripoli, Len Lebanon and there's a wild-wide food shortage from the Ukraine.
>>> With Monkeypox cases on the rise, the world health organization has declared a global health emergency and cases in nearly every state in the country, but just exactly what is Monkeypox and who is at risk?
We posed that to the executive director for the Arizona public health association, will humble.
Before we get into what is Monkeypox, let's talk about the significance of it.
Is it something where we'll be shutting down the economy or everything as a result of Monkeypox?
>> As a short answer, to no.
I'm not saying it will go away any time soon.
In western Europe and the United States, it's going to be here awhile and won't pose anything close to the risk that Covid-19 posed to the general public.
>> Let's talk about what is Monkeypox?
>> So it's a viral that we've known about and recognized and central Africa for decades.
It's very spectacular in similar to smallpox.
Back in the day, it killed 30% of the people and talking about smallpox, not Monkeypox.
Monkeypox is different from that.
Very, very few deaths and I think there may have been one in Europe and seldom lethal and very painful.
The rash that Monkeypox, sort of characteristic is kind of similar to what the smallpox rashes looked like.
>> Let's go over the symptoms.
>> Flu-like symptoms at first and then the real thing is the diagnostic pieces, a rash that are bumps on hands, your face, genitals, hands and most of the time, it's in a location where the skin-to-skin contact happened, because that's how this mainly transmits skin-to skin-to-skin contact and this is why we're the chain of transmission with intimate skin-to-skin contact with the rashes that's where its at.
>> Does that mean it's not airborne.
>> Hard to say never.
>> We know the dominant way is skin-to-skin and totally reflects what we're seeing in the community right now and folks with many partners and with a lot of skin-to-skin contact.
>> What is the treatment and how still is the treatment?
>> Two treatments, really, and number one, if you get diagnosed fast and a turn-around time and get it to the laboratory, specimen says yes, it's Monkeypox and you get the vaccine, Geniose and that can really help your course of the disease be a lot more mild.
There's an antiviral medication designed more smallpox and it appears to work for Monkeypox, as well.
>> Because they're similar.
>> They're similar viruses and because of the similarities, the vaccines and the antivirals.
>> There are vaccines available in Maricopa county and the number is not very big.
>> I think they've gotten two thousand doses in and they've have gotten into arms and doing that in a couple of other counties where there have been a handful of cases and expecting new shipments later on and putting in an order tomorrow and they've got a clinic set up for Wednesday of this week and I'm talking about Maricopa county, public health and next Monday.
And if people are interested and think they're at high risk and would like that vaccine, you go to Maricopa county's website and answer questions.
They do triage and figure out the people at most risk.
By invitation, they provide an appointment to come down at one of the two clinics.
>> And I'm assuming there's a ramping up of the number of vaccines available and we'll get beyond two thousand.
There the Federal Government ordered a lot of vaccines.
It's a small manufacturer and it will get that awhile to get that ramped up and there was Geniose vaccine in a warehouse in denmark and the supply is increasing and going to be in short supply probably into mid2023.
>> And once again, go over who is at highest risk.
>> Right now, Maricopa county three risk groups.
Right now, men who have sex with men, many partners and household cases.
You go to their website and you answer these questions and they'll look at the group of people that are interested and decide who they will invite in for an appointment.
>> Let's talk about the name itself, Monkeypox.
Is this associated with monkeys?
>> No, rodents.
I don't know how it got the nape, butname, nothing to do with primates.
But mostly in central and western Africa, it's among rodents.
>> So the name Monkeypox is a bit of a misnomer.
>> Nobody likes the name, but how do you change it?
It will get changed after it's too late.
>> To the original question, not something to have quite as much fear of.
Not as much fear as Covid?
>> Nothing as much fear as damage of Covid, nothing close.
>> Thanks for being here and giving us information into Monkeypox.
>> My pleasure.
>> Well, the U.S. economy shrank and what this means.
>> This region is where the first European colonists arrived and the first enslaved people, so if I want to legislator explore how the outdoors have shaped me and country, no better place to do that than here than in a swamp.
>> Gross domestic product numbers interest been released and it's not greatest news.
Typically, if a country's economy is rinks over two counties want recession is declared, but it's more common than that.
H thisThis is the school of business and Dennis, thank you for being here.
>> Rick, great to be with you.
>> Before we get into what the numbers are, let's explain just exactly what is gross domestic product and I think of this as a score card for the economy.
Is that correct.
>> Designed correct?
>> This is find goods and services and we measure quarterly and the latest release was for April, may and June and historically, two consecutive quarters of decline in the estimate for real GDP have been correlated with recessions and that is, you know, that's what has created this discussion, but that is not the formal definition of a recession.
The formal definition of a recession comes from the national bill of economic economists and that is a relatively complex formula that has to do with spending and employment and the GDP release numbers, et cetera.
The output of nation's factories and providers is a tough thing to measure and we try to measure this with final sales, but we net out goods that we buy from abroad and we net out goods that we take off inventory shelves.
>> Let's talk about the latest numbers and what do they show?
>> They showed that technically, by that measure, the output of the nation's producers fell in both the first and second quarter, but the decline, Rick, was really due to the fact that a very large number of goods in Q1 was estimated as purchased from abroad, so its net exports that lead to the decline and in the second quarter, the estimates suggested a lot of the goods were purchased off of inventories and they were not replenished to keep GDP positive.
>> There's another outlier number that's using this, correct?
>> The nation's consumption is high and I've looked at this back through the period and shows what they're due to spend their time during the day and it is a rarity that you got to consecutive declines in GDP while you're creating any jobs.
And we're not just creating any jobs.
We created jobs in the first six months of 2022 and that eclipsed the job growth in any other six-month period in the 80's.
We're creating jobs of very, very fast clip.
It would be very surprising to me and most economists recently, very surprising that the national bureau finds that this is, indeed, a technical recession.
In my opinion, the debate out ought to go not over the last six months and what's happening now and over the next six to 18 months.
>> And if you were to talk to oneIthink the average person on the street, I think think, they female the economy is offering.
Are we getting data getting caught up in the world, "recession?
>> "?
>> I think it depends who you talk to.
>> A lot of pent off savings, concession is strong, travel remains strong and a lot of healthy spots in the economy.
Now, Rick, there's a lot a group of folks that are really struggling right now.
Are there more of the have's than have not not's?
This depends on the neighborhood, but there's a tremendous amount of strength in the economy.
People are seeing inflation rates on some necessities like gasoline and some food items and we're seeing housing prices level off and come down a little bit and the cost of shelter will come down.
I saw wholesale price of gas leangasoline between $3 a gallon.
>> One of the classic things, we say, oh, that's where we were?
>> And that's what happens when recessions where defined.
This will take some time to sort this out.
And I understand the conspiracy theorists on both sides of the aisle are worrying about folks trying to spin this.
This is not a bunch of politically Partisan people locked in a room trying to cook up some numbers.
These are -- >> These are economists.
>> -- yeah, boring economists.
They want to get it right and they will get it right.
>> Dennis Hoffman, thank you for giving us insight into GDP.
>> Great, Rick, do well.
♪♪ >> A new book takes a unique look at why the United States engauged in a civil war just 73 years after the constitution was written and how the framers of the constitution failed to resolve the conflict between freedom and slavery.
Today we welcome author and constitutional law expert Robert Bob and it's called fixing the framer's failure, the 13th,, 14th and 15th amendments and why group these three together?
>> They were passed by the same Congress with the same intent and that was to broaden the new birth of freedom for all people in the United States.
>> So the 13th amendment ended slavery and the 14th 14th granted zip citizenship to anyone born here and the 15th 15th said it would not be affected by anyone else, that they had that and what were they trying to fix at that point?
>> The framers of the constitution in 1791 did a wonderful job creating this government and crated this concept of, we the people, democracy, et cetera.
They failed to incorporate the declaration of independence statement that all men are created equal.
>> Was it a lack of a statement for all men?
>> No, they couldn't deal with it.
A lot of us think the founding fathers intended democracy.
They wanted to get rid of Great Britain.
The real struggle in the constitutional convention was the struggle between democracy and aristos accuracy.
That's what they tried to fix.
>> The people find these amendments, were they big picture, long-term futureist?
>> They had intention to use the civil war and aftermath to create a new birth of freedom.
They were fulfilling what Abraham Lincoln talked about in the Gettysburg address.
>> Why after 100 years did we not accomplish so many things?
>> The Supreme Court blue blew it.
There were a series of cases and the Supreme Court misread the 13th, 14th and 15th 15th amendments the people ha wrotewhowrote these amendments, it didn't matter andit created slavery and all but name in the former confederacy.
>> What was it net they were misreading.
The justices, the education is deep and what were they misreading?
>> Fundamentally what Abraham talked, this country shall bring forth a new birth of freedom.
They used in as a jumping off as putting this into simple terms, rather broad terms and that's what they missed.
Many of the justices believed slavery was wrong and what they could not accept was the idea that a black man could be their social equal and that's what's screwed them up.
Yes, slavery was ended and that a black man could have the same benefits.
>> When you look at the three constitutional amendments and the significance of them and what they meant at the time and things that are going on today, gay marriage as a perfect example, how does it affect that?
>> The reason we had this is inform the.Marriage is a fundamental right and open to everyone on the basis you are a person and not just a United States citizen, but we the people.
>> That's not written down in either the amendments or the constitution.
>> But it was intended.
The rights that everyone -- of which marriage is one.
After the civil war, there was the freedom's bill which allowed for all kinds of social services to former slaves and one of which was recognition of marriage.
The former slave holders gave freedom to slaves.
They had thousands of marriages of black people.
In 1967, in the best named Supreme Court court called loving versus Virginia, the Supreme Court said, hey one can't have laws which prevent black people have marrying white people or anything that would prevent equal protection.
It doesn't say it directly, I agree, but that is the same rights and freedoms that everybody has.
>> Were there more things that needed to be done beyond the 13th, 14th and 15th and are those sufficient at at the core?
>> They are sufficient and have not been given the full breadth and life and they didn't didn't cover everything.
Women should have the right to vote and other rights that have come along and all of it is to recognize this broader concept of freedoms and rights and that's what they started.
Each one of those amendments, the 13th 14th, 15, and 19th amendment end the same way, to end by association.
This created the balance of power by state and Federal Government and that's what a lot of people don't accept and that's what was intended and that's what they wrote and what the people of the United States ratified and that is the state and Federal Government on the topics.
>> Only a little time left, but how close are we now to achieving the goals of the 13th, 14th and 15th 15th amendment when you look at the trail we've been on over the 150 years?
>> We are closer.
We might be in a time we're retreating, but closer, but we will never achieve it and that means we must never stop the struggle.
>> This is not the only constitutional book you have out.
A few seconds left.
What are the others?
>> The bills, quills and hills and other several books that emanated from that and they apply to us and that's why it works.
>> But isn't this still up for debate, though, because people say what do the framers want and what the writers want and intent versus the wording?
>> Still, talking about a tent and originalism as intent, we take that of the framers of the subsequent amendment, the 13, 13, 14th and 15th amendment, they superrersupercede.
>> Fixing the framers failure and not out yet and be out in a few months and it women will be out on Amazon.
>> That's it for now and thank you for joining us and we hope you have a great evening.

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