
Nov. 4, 2024 - Full Show
11/4/2024 | 26m 47sVideo has Closed Captions
Watch the full Nov. 4, 2024, episode of "Chicago Tonight."
The latest presidential polls have Kamala Harris and Donald Trump deadlocked across swing states. But what does polling actually tell us? And how to cope with stress caused by the election.
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Nov. 4, 2024 - Full Show
11/4/2024 | 26m 47sVideo has Closed Captions
The latest presidential polls have Kamala Harris and Donald Trump deadlocked across swing states. But what does polling actually tell us? And how to cope with stress caused by the election.
Problems playing video? | Closed Captioning Feedback
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In this Emmy Award-winning series, WTTW News tackles your questions — big and small — about life in the Chicago area. Our video animations guide you through local government, city history, public utilities and everything in between.Providing Support for PBS.org
Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorship>> Well, and thanks for joining us on Chicago tonight.
I'm Brandis Friedman.
Here's what we're looking at.
What to know about tomorrow's historic election.
We're, of course, talking about the race for Chicago's Board of Education.
>> Political polls can be complicated.
A look at how they work and their impact on elections.
If you're feeling anxious about tomorrow's election, you are some live on ball.
I deal with election anxiety.
>> We have the same power than >> And even with school out tomorrow, some students will still be waking up early to serve as election judges.
>> And now to some of today's top stories.
Tomorrow is decision day for voters across the country.
And here in Chicago, more than 454,000 Chicagoans have already cast their ballots through early voting in person or by mail, long voting lines were reported across the city this weekend.
And today like these look at that one outside the polling super site downtown, aside from the presidential race, Chicagoans will be voting for Congress.
Members, Cook County State's attorney Cook County Clerk, Circuit Court Clerk, Metropolitan Water, Reclamation, District Commissioners, Chicago Board of Education members and a number, quite a number of judicial seats.
Now that sounds overwhelming.
Check out our online voter guide to read up on who's running and what these officers actually do.
That's a W t tw dot com slash voter guide.
They're like speed cameras, but for parked cars.
The city is launching a smart streets pilot program which will use camera technology mounted on city vehicles and buses starting next year to capture cars, parked or stopped in bike or bus lanes once an incriminating photo is taken, it will be reviewed by city staff and then the owner will receive a ticket in the mail.
Drivers will receive warnings only until December 4th.
That's when fines will go into effect up to $90 for parking in a bus lane and $250 for a bike lane.
The pilot is intended to protect cyclists and transit riders.
It will last 2 years in downtown and surrounding areas from the lake to Ashland Avenue between North Avenue and Roosevelt Road.
Producer, director kingmaker and Chicago native Quincy Jones is being remembered for the music and entertainment legacy he created over decades in the industry.
He paid us a visit month.
Well, W t Tw back in 1975.
Here he is walking down the hall with jazz, great Chip Korea for a sound stage performance.
Jones rose through the industry from the South side of Chicago where he admitted to running with street gangs stealing and fighting as a young kid.
But he said music saved him after beginning to use and neighbors.
Piano Jones would go on to work with all of the greats across the musical genres from Frank Sinatra to Snoop Dogg to Chaka Khan.
He also worked on the soundtrack to the 1978 movie, The Wiz starring a young upstart.
You might've heard named Michael Jackson.
Jones would later produced his album thriller, not to mention The Color Purple, The Fresh Prince of Bel Air and the 1985 charity record.
We are the World.
Jones was 91 years old.
Up next, we get educated on tomorrow.
School board election.
That's right.
After this.
>> Chicago tonight is made possible in part why the Alexandra and John Nichols family.
The gym and K maybe family.
The Pope Brothers Foundation.
And the support of these donors.
>> Chicago voters are set to make history for the first time ever.
Residents will elect members of the Chicago Board of Education ending 30 years of complete mayoral control of the school district or Heather Sharon joins us now to break down the complicated election.
Heather.
So Chicago is the only city in Illinois that does not elect its school board members.
That is until tomorrow.
How had the system been working until now?
Well, starting in 1995, the mayor had complete control of the school district.
And even before that, there was a community commission that would nominate people.
>> Thought to be qualified to sit on the school board.
But again, the mayor would have final say that all changes starting tomorrow.
It is the voters who will have that say, you know, I said the election is complicated.
One kid how is it has it's going to work?
Well, it all changed because of legislation that was passed by the general.
Send me some glee and signed into law by Governor JB Pritzker should over the objections of then Mayor Lori Lightfoot.
But with the support of the Chicago teachers Union, now that legislation divided the city into 20 districts, but only 10 people will be elected again complicated.
This is part of what it's going to be a hybrid transition.
So even though these 10 people will take office in January, Mayor Johnson, a close ally of the CTU will still have the ability to appoint 10 other members from the opposite side of those districts.
He will also get to a point the board president.
So there will be still some level of mayoral control in Chicago of the school district.
Just not complete first 2 years of arrest of this anyway.
So but what about the new CPS board that the mayor just appointed?
Yeah, well, they will only be in office until January when these New 10 members in the mayor's new appointments take office.
Some of them may be reappointed if they live in the right geographically area.
The specific school district.
But it's not clear that anybody any of them will ask to be reappointed or that the mayor will consider them.
They are likely to be among the shortest tenured school board members in Chicago history because whether or not they're reappointed is dependent on who gets elected in the district.
So what is at stake in this election, Heather?
Well, not only will start to the governance of the nation's 4th largest school district be at at issue.
I think many people will see this is a referendum on the power of the Chicago teachers union.
And Mayor Brandon Johnson and whether day have charted the right course for the school district.
They have backed a slate of 10 candidates on the other side is a group of charter advocates, the Illinois Network for charter schools.
They have also backed a number of candidates.
And many of them have been campaigning on an anti Johnson anti CTU Platform.
It will be very interesting to see how that all shakes out in an election that is likely to be decided by just a few 1000 votes at most.
So if you're wavering about whether you should vote, this is a race where your boat will really count.
All right.
So 10 seconds had or will do this again in 2 years when mayoral control in entirely.
What happens that?
That's right.
Well, then all 20 school district, any city school district seats will be up for grabs along with a citywide election for brand new position school board president.
They will all take office in 2027 and Merrill control will finally be Chicago All right, Heather Sharon, thank you so much.
Thanks.
Brandis.
And to find who is running for board of Education in your district.
Check out our online voter guide again.
You can find bio is on the candidates as well as the location of your polling place tomorrow.
That is at.
>> W T Tw dot com Slash voter guide.
Up next, we explore what goes into political polling.
If you've noticed more phone calls or texts recently from numbers, you don't recognize.
>> There's a chance it's coming from an election polling center.
Recent polls, the presidential candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are neck and neck.
But what are actually tell us and what impact they have?
Joining us now is Eric Nisbett, professor of policy analysis and communication at Northwestern University.
Eric, Welcome back.
Thanks for joining us.
You're welcome.
Thank you.
so of course, there are a lot of polls out there.
How do you distinguish from one a reliable poll from an unreliable poll?
>> Right.
There are many different polls and posters out there.
And I think one of the key sort of shortcuts is you're recognize who's doing the poll.
Is it coming from a major media outlet?
Washington Post ABC News, New York Times, for example, what your local major newspaper, those polls tend to have higher quality and you can't pretty.
You are confidence in their methodology is representing voters opinions accurately.
>> Now over the weekend, new poll numbers about the state of Iowa came out now.
This is a state that former President Donald Trump carried the last 2 elections.
This time this poll showing that Vice President Kamala Harris is leading by about 3 points with 47% of polar polls.
People being pulled their surveyed saying they'd vote for her.
What are the latest polling numbers telling us?
>> Well, that goes quite a bit of a shocker and how you know, Trump won Iowa by about 8 points in 2020 and other polls have him up about the about the same amount.
If that well is accurate.
And the reason that the poster said that there is such a shift my harris's because older white women were breaking for her.
Late voters are voting for her, possibly around issues of abortion and other issues.
Important to them on The question is whether that is an outlier or possibly tracking a larger trend nationwide in terms of the gender split in this vote overall, we should be really looking.
I not seen as a battleground state, really, want to focus on where what polls are probably most predictive of who will win the election.
It's those battleground states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, especially should be looking at.
>> What impact of polls have on voters?
you know, can it make voters more complacent or energize them?
>> Little bit of both, depending on your point of view, if you're candidate is way up in the polls, maybe you're apathetic.
You're not gonna spend time to stand in line and vote.
You know, voting takes time and effort and you think of your candidates going anyways.
Why do you spend that time and effort?
That's why often campaigns sort of did a do rely on polls that show the way had those caution, their voters that this is not very accurate and you get out the vote at the same time if a vote, those your candidate is behind, maybe will energize.
make sure you get to the vote and then heard and try to make up that deficit.
So, you know, there's sort of a double edged sword how close might impact voters.
>> The polls in 2016 poor certainly cast a lot of doubt on the validity of polls.
But national polls tell the whole picture.
>> They especially because we have that tomorrow college and unfortunately United States, the popular vote doesn't determine who's president.
Now, there is sort public Holland tunnel, college bias that Democratic candidate needs to win about my 3 or 4 points nationally in the popular vote to overcome the bias against them in the Electoral College.
In terms of our sort of red and blue divisions right now, my Harris's polling below that at least if the polls are accurate, more in the one to 2 range and that's what it comes down to the battleground states.
That's why a lot of holes are.
48 48 50, 50 48 49.
And while the forecast it's a coin flip because it's so close both nationally as well in battlegrounds.
>> Eric, How's polling changed over the years?
>> There's diversity in polling methods, you know, online via text telephone and posters are using combination of methods.
it's not that poster only use of the telephone.
Now they try to contact people by mail, telephone hotline to reach people because it's recently more possibly more expensive to reach people and people are not actually answering polls.
You know, the gold standard.
Those still is the telephone pole.
It's a probability sample to make sure that everyone has equal chance of being included in the poll.
And those are the polls that are conducted by, for example, you know, New York Times or Washington Post, those polls are more expensive.
They take longer to do.
But even the confidence of those polls and most accurate, was representing voters, opinions.
>> And explain margin of error because we often see a lot of polls you know, there's 3 three-point margin of error.
Explain that for us and why it matters.
Please.
>> Margin error really tells you know how much the results they give.
You can actually differ from the reality.
So if I say that Kamala Harris is at 48% and Trump is a 48%, I have a margin of error of 4%.
That means you know, to be anything from 44 to 52 within that range, right?
So there's a wide window.
So the larger the margin of error, the larger the window, the true results could actually be.
And so that's why you want a little margin Erica's.
You have more confidence that the numbers that you get from the accurately represent voters.
>> And lastly, you know who to say pays attention to these polls, as you know, is the voters and campaigns the most.
>> a little bit of both campaigns about internal polls that never see the light of day and they usually trust their internal polls more than the public wants, though.
They have to respond to them in their communication messages.
They might actually use them for fundraising.
Right is of a poll shows a candidate behind you will guarantee said, you know, I've Campa highest Donald to give you some money on your taxes, using the as fodder terms of voter.
I think voters pay attention but really should be attention to the big picture chair pay attention to any one single poll.
Look at polling averages.
Look at polling trends rely on analysis from some of the experts at the major media networks that can give the polls in context because that's really should be paying attention to.
>> Right.
A lot voters think about heading into tomorrow if they haven't done it already.
Erik Nisbet Northwest Northwestern University, thank you so much for joining us.
>> Thank you.
>> We're back with more right after this.
If you're feeling a bit anxious about tomorrow's election, you are certainly not alone.
A study by the American Psychological Association says that 77% of us adults say the nation's future is a significant source of stress in their lives.
And with polls showing a tight presidential race as we just discussed, it appears Americans are struggling with the unpredictable outcome.
Here to talk more about election anxiety and what you can do about it is Dr. Andrew Segovia cool for forensic psychiatrist in chair of behavioral health at Saint Anthony Hospital Chicago.
Dr. Colette, thank you for joining us.
Thank you for So what are you hearing from people wire folks so stressed and anxious around the election?
>> I think nowadays there's so much controversy because one group of people, maybe 33% believe one thing and another.
There are people believe that something else is completely different.
So when you hear both stories, they don't make sense.
And so you have groups of people that believe the exact opposite.
And I think that is what increases more stress.
Now, this.
>> Do you think this presidential election is more stressful than previous ones?
I think this is same reasons.
You know, a 3rd of the population loves one individual believes that that person is the most important person on the planet that that created whatever.
And there's another 3rd of the population that believes the exact opposite.
So having that individual come back potentially is is just before group and very happy for for them get right.
>> So Forbes Health conducted a survey of 2000 Americans and they found that the election is impacting the younger generation, particularly are especially among the generations.
66 1% of Gen X'ers say that the election has had at least a slight negative impact on their mental health, along with 64% of millennials.
63% of folks in Generation X.
Now this all compares to 56% of baby boomers.
What you think younger generations might be more anxious about this?
>> I think nowadays, when you have social media, you are scrolling at all times and looking and getting things and notifications.
I think you don't mean to pay attention to things sometimes and it comes into your face and it forces itself upon you.
And I think the younger generation is looking all that stuff and they're getting more agitated and upset.
They're protesting their beginning, become more active.
I think that's a good thing.
At least for the younger generation become more active on some levels.
It's very good, but it can be much more stressful for them for sure.
>> The survey also showed more negative impact for women's mental health.
63 1% compared to men at 58%.
What does that tell you?
>> I think that when men become a little bit more emotional and I think they're more in tune with their emotions so that I think they understand them a little bit better.
I think that could probably contribute to those numbers.
And I wondered, you know, it could also be related to some of the issues that we hear a lot along the campaign trail as well.
>> And then there's the messaging and language Gene from candidates, Harris has referred to this race as one of the most consequential elections of our lifetime.
Trump saying things like I will protect women, whether they like it or not.
How do some of the rhetoric that we hear on the campaign trail impacts how we feel?
>> The good thing is I don't think it's as bad as it was during the last election season, but it can certainly affect people when they hear things that that doesn't work with how they believe life should work.
And it gets kind of scary, especially if you're correct, if you're going to deal with reproductive rights and women's rights building to make your own determination.
So I think it can be much more stressful than it should be.
>> How does election stress differ from the stress that we might feel any time?
Life can be stressful.
You have to deal with the work with family, with illness, with.
>> Whatever comes your way.
And when the election comes every 4 years, it's an added stress on top of the normal stresses that we have.
So if the election stress, especially when you have opposite opposing opinions can very much make things much worse many individuals.
>> Then there's election night people tune in on election night because that is really sort of like the climactic part of of the election season.
That's really when we're biting our nails.
I don't know.
You know, I kind of want to tune in.
I think I'm going to tune in here and there and pay attention for like 20 minutes watch the show and maybe cook dinner pay attention again.
>> But for me personally, I think watching it the entire time gets a little bit too stressful and a little bit monotonous.
But, you know, everybody has their own thing.
Maybe it's good for them to kind of see things in real time and can help.
They're stressed or they feel like it kind of helps stress levels.
But I do.
What are you gonna do?
definitely going to be watching and actually excited to do it.
Making a night of it.
>> Because because that's the thing, right?
There are some folks who don't have the luxury being able to disengage, right?
Not just journalists, but, you know, people who are in politics themselves.
They can't necessarily 2 out.
How can folks juggle with, you know, staying engaged in and tuning in, but also balancing their own mental health?
>> I think that's what you have to do.
You have to plan ahead.
You have to decide what you want to do, how much time you can decrease the number of notifications you get during the day.
So maybe I don't have to have all my e-mails.
All my tax coming in and specially news or or maybe social media notifications can be kind of stressful to have all those sounds coming in.
And then I can maybe put social media to the side in the morning for me, I like looking at 05:00AM to 06:00AM maybe I can slow down and not look at it because getting too much social media at the same time, all day can be very stressful.
>> You just name several.
But what are some ways that folks can can manage stress or anxiety in addition to sort of like turning off the alerts, maybe not watching CNN for hours.
Exactly.
>> Well, you can do is you can increase a social connectedness.
You can talk to family and friends.
Maybe reconnect with them.
Spent some time with them.
You can take You know, I have some friends that a cooking classes paint or, you know, do something that you enjoy.
>> That won't increase that anxiety.
you can do because can do.
can decrease it.
Maybe go for a walk.
Dr. thank you so much for joining us.
Thank you for having me.
Of course.
Up next, how some young people are making tomorrow's election possible.
But first, a look at the weather.
>> If you've already voted in person or plan to tomorrow, you have an election judge to thank for helping make that happen.
They're responsible for setting up and running the voting equipment signing in verifying voters information and certifying vote totals.
Chicago has hired more than 8,000 election judges to help things go smoothly tomorrow.
And many of them are students.
>> Like many high school students, Prosser career Academy, Senior Tae Kwon Billups is too young to vote.
>> I will be turning 18 March 11 next year.
I do plan to vote.
I believe voting is something that we should all but he'll be at the polls all Tuesday working as an election.
Judge and making a little history, as officials say, students, this election are set to make up a record percentage of judges.
>> We have over 2000 high school students that will be serving as election judges in this upcoming election.
And over 300 college students serving together.
This is almost one-fourth of our total.
A poll worker force.
only requires election judges to meet criteria like they have to be able to speak, read and write English.
>> The skilled in the for fundamental rules of a wrist.
tick and be understanding and capable.
They also have to be citizens qualified to vote as in at least age 18.
But a special section of the law creates an exemption for students who extra qualifications, including getting a principals and parents approval making it through election judge training and a GPA of 3 or higher.
Cook County deputy clerk of elections admin Ski says that the clerk's office wants the state to ease that last requirement.
>> I'm not sure that I would have always qualified as a 3 going through high school or not.
Somehow I got through law school, but I might not have always been at that at that level.
The reality is that, you know, we don't want to discourage people participating in democracy.
>> Working in election is a living civics lesson for students but also election officials need the help.
>> Like in many groups in government, there's aging workforce and to get people engaged in a younger age.
It's important to every election.
Authorities going to tell you that finding enough election judges is usually the number one issue they face heading into every election.
>> There's an added benefit to younger judges.
They're often tech savvy.
>> And given that poll books or iPad, a given that screens are very similar, they can help troubleshoot through issues in ways that are very immediate.
>> Election judges and other poll workers are paid.
But Tae Kwon Billups says that's not why he does Contrary popular students, we do care.
We care.
We watch.
We understand for Chicago tonight.
and isn't he?
>> Billups as students are paying extra attention this year.
A Chicago residents for the first time will be electing members to the Board of Education and those no worry that public high school students will miss out on learning in the classroom.
Election Day is a state holiday this year.
So public schools are closed.
And that's our show for this Monday night.
Join us tomorrow night at 5.34 Our special election Day coverage on Chicago tonight.
It's Election Day voters across the country and in Illinois, we break down what you should know ahead of results coming in.
Plus, a live report from the Board of Elections with the latest on voter turnout.
Now for all of us here at Chicago Brandis Friedman, thank you for watching.
Stay healthy and safe good night.
>> Closed captioning is made possible by Robert a and Clifford, all personal injury
Ahead of Election, Americans Report Significant Stress Around Future of the Nation
Video has Closed Captions
Clip: 11/4/2024 | 6m 11s | How stress goes along with presidential politics. (6m 11s)
Chicago Students Volunteer as Election Judges
Video has Closed Captions
Clip: 11/4/2024 | 2m 52s | How students help keep Election Day running smoothly in Chicago. (2m 52s)
Looking Ahead to Chicago's Board of Education Election
Video has Closed Captions
Clip: 11/4/2024 | 3m 41s | This Election Day, Chicago voters will be choosing Board of Education members. (3m 41s)
Presidential Polls Are in the News. What Do They Really Tell Us?
Video has Closed Captions
Clip: 11/4/2024 | 7m 4s | A look at what presidential polling can actually tells us and the limits the data has. (7m 4s)
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