
Record Low Jobless Rate
Clip: Season 2022 Episode 45 | 8m 33sVideo has Closed Captions
Economists Louis Johnston and Chris Farrell on jobless rate & inflation.
Economists Louis Johnston and Chris Farrell on jobless rate & inflation.
Problems playing video? | Closed Captioning Feedback
Problems playing video? | Closed Captioning Feedback
Almanac is a local public television program presented by Twin Cities PBS

Record Low Jobless Rate
Clip: Season 2022 Episode 45 | 8m 33sVideo has Closed Captions
Economists Louis Johnston and Chris Farrell on jobless rate & inflation.
Problems playing video? | Closed Captioning Feedback
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Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorship>> AND THEY PICKED UP BETTER BETTER HOURS, THEY PICKED UP BETTER PAY, THEY'VE ACTUALLY PICKED UP BENEFITS SO THERE'S A LOT OF SHIFT OING ON.
SO I'D -- SIMPLY A GOOD NUMBER AND IT'S A WONDERFUL THING AND WE ARE SEEING MORE AND MORE PEOPLE GETTING JOBS.
>> Eric: KIND OF TROUBLING, THOUGH, THAT BLACK UNEMPLOYMENT IS UP OVER 7% AND RISING.
-- NOT DOING ENOUGH TO ATTRACT WORKERS OF COLOR?
WHAT'S GOING ON THERE?
>> BOTH OF THOSE THINGS -- IDENTIFIED.
SO ONE IS -- YOU NEED TO COMPLETE HIGH SCHOOL AND WE HAVE [ AUDIO CUTTING OUT ] AND STUDENTS OF COLOR IN TERMS OF THEIR COMPLETION RATES AND THAT'S KIND OF A CUTOFF -- IF YOU DON'T HAVE A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA YOU'VE GOT -- THE OTHER THING IS THE COMPANY'S REACHING OUT.
THEY NEED TO DO A BETTER JOB OF ACTUALLY FINDING -- >> Eric: EMPLOYMENT, RIGHT?
AND THEY DON'T HAVE QUITE THAT NETWORK OF FOLKS TO HIRE THEM.
>> NO, BUT HERE'S THE THING.
THERE ARE PEOPLE OUT THERE -- [ AUDIO CUTTING OUT ] >> Cathy: ALL GOOD NEWS THAT WE'VE HEARD HERE SO FAR.
-- MORE OR LESS.
BUT I THINK THE LABOR MARKET MIGHT BE COOLING A LITTLE BIT.
IS THAT TRUE?
>> WELL, T DEPENDS WHERE YOU LOOK.
SO IN MINNESOTA IT'S NOT -- CLEARLY WE'VE GOT THIS LOW UNEMPLOYMENT RATE.
DEPENDING ON WHERE -- IN DIFFERENT SECTORS OF THE ECONOMY YOU DO SEE IT COOLING DOWN A BIT.
[ AUDIO CUTTING OUT ] >> LESS COMPETITIVE, IT'S MAKING IMPORTS MORE COMPETITIVE AND SO SOME OF THE MANUFACTURING JOBS AND THINGS LIKE THAT, THAT'S STARTING TO SOFTEN A LITTLE BIT.
BUT IN MINNESOTA, NO, WE'RE NOT REALLY HAVING A PROBLEM WITH THAT.
>> WAGES ARE UP I THINK 5% JUNE OR JUNE, BUT INFLATION IS 9% SO THE WAGES AREN'T KEEPING UP?
>> RIGHT.
SO AND WAGE GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN.
BUT HERE THERE IS -- OKAY, I'M GOING TO PUT SOME GOOD NEWS IN HERE, I'M SORRY, I JUST HAD TO DO THAT, CATHY.
>> TOTALLY FINE.
>> WHEN YOU LOOK LAT LOWER WAGE WORKERS UP UNTIL RECENTLY UP UNTIL THE -- THEIR WAGES WERE MATCHING -- THAT'S NO LONGER TRUE.
BUT SO THE PEOPLE AND, >> A LOT OF PEOPLE WERE ACTUALLY PUSHED OUT OF THE LABOR MARKET EARLIER THAN THEY WANTED TO BE PUSHED OUT.
AND NOW [ AUDIO SKIPPING ] I DON'T HAVE TO GO BACK FULL TIME -- >> Cathy: SO I'M WONDERING THEN TOO, WITH THE NUMBER THAT WE'RE SEEING, DO YOU WORRY ABOUT A [ AUDIO CUT OUT ] A RECESSION?
>> -- STILL -- END OF THE YEAR, MAYBE A LITTLE HIGHER AFTER, BUT I DON'T SEE IT RIGHT NOW.
I JUST DON'T.
SO THE FEAR IS THAT THE FED GOES TOO FAR.
SO THE FEDERAL -- AND IT'S THEIR BIG MEETING AND THEY'RE GOING TO RAISE THEIR BENCHMARK INTEREST RATE BY THREE-QUARTERS OF A PERCENTAGE POINT.
SO THAT'S THE SECOND ONE THEY'VE DONE IN A ROW.
THE QUESTION IS HAS THE FED GONE TOO FAR?
BUT WHAT YOU CAN SAY IS THE ECONOMY IS SLOWING DOWN, CONSUMERS ARE PULLING BACK A LITTLE BIT.
BUT BUSINESSES ARE STILL GOOD IN HIRING AND NOT LAYING OFF WORKERS AND THE -- RECESSION IS BASICALLY A READING OF HISTORY.
THE FED USUALLY GOES TOO FAR.
AND BECAUSE MONETARY -- WITH THE 3.6 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AND 1.8% IN MINNESOTA, WE SLOWED DOWN BUT WE DON'T GO INTO RECESSION.
I
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