
7-12-2022: Inflation, Million Dollar Teacher, SAARC 25th
Season 2022 Episode 134 | 27mVideo has Closed Captions
Supply Chain Inflation, Million Dollar Teacher and SAARC 25TH Anniversary.
ASU Professor Rogers will discuss the connection between supply chain issues and inflation. According to Rogers, the Federal Reserve cannot fix the economy with the tools that they currently have. Million Dollar Teacher Project was established October 2016 as a mechanism to strengthen schools in Arizona. SARRC is celebrating 25 years of helping people with autism and their families.
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Arizona Horizon is a local public television program presented by Arizona PBS

7-12-2022: Inflation, Million Dollar Teacher, SAARC 25th
Season 2022 Episode 134 | 27mVideo has Closed Captions
ASU Professor Rogers will discuss the connection between supply chain issues and inflation. According to Rogers, the Federal Reserve cannot fix the economy with the tools that they currently have. Million Dollar Teacher Project was established October 2016 as a mechanism to strengthen schools in Arizona. SARRC is celebrating 25 years of helping people with autism and their families.
Problems playing video? | Closed Captioning Feedback
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Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorshipComing up in the next hour on Arizona PBS, on Arizona horizon, the connection between supply chain issues and inflation and on chronhow much time should children spend looking at a screen.
That's ahead on Arizona PBS.
Good evening and welcome to Arizona yet.
I'm Ted Simonss.
The January 6th committee investigating the attack on the U.S. capitol held the seventh hearing today and how President Trump and his allies to keep trump in power.
Among those testifying, trump's White House lawyer who had this recollection in December of 2020.
>> I think that it got to the point where the screaming was completely, completely out there.
I mean, you have people walking in, late at night, a long day.
What they were proposing I thought was nuts.
>> Ted: They looked at trump's summoning of terroristers protesting and his rioters they knew were armed.
>> Early in the morning of December 19th, the president seven out a tweet urging followers to travel to Washington, D.C. for January 6th.
Be there, will be wild, the president wrote.
This tweet served as a call to action and in some cases as a call to arms for many of President Trump's most local supporters.
Tee >> Ted: The committee responded they didn't know he lost due to information he was getting from his advisers.
>> President Trump is a 76-year-old man, not an impressionable child.
Just like everybody else in our country, he is responsible for his own actions and his own choices.
As our investigation has shown, Donald Trump had access to more detailed and specific information showing that the election was not actually stolen than any other Americanand he was told this over and over again.
>> Ted: Indeed, former attorney bill Barr said claims of fraud including corrupt voting machines impacting election results were, according to Barr, complete nonsense.
>> I saw absolutely zero basis for the allegations, but they were made in such a sensational way that they obviously were influencing a lot of people, members of the public, that there was this systemic corruption in the system and that these machines controlled by somebody else were determining it, which was complete nonsense.
And it was being laid out there and I told him that it was crazy stuff and they were wasting their time on that.
And it was doing grave disservice to the country.
>> Ted: Other news, a new poll shows that Blake masters has opened up a ten-point lead over challengers Jim Lehman and mark Brnovich in the republican primary for U.S. senate.
Masters is the trump endorsed candidate and high ground public affairs shows a massive number of undecided voters and the numbers show trump's endorsement has impacted this G.O.P primary.
And big science news, NASA releasing the first set of full color images from the James Webb telescope and those images are remarkable and they included nebula packed with stars and another couple surrounding dying stars 2000 light stars away and five galaxies clustered 90 million light stars away and this image released yesterday shows a massive cluster of galaxies from 13 billion years ago.
The longest look back into space and the sharpest image of the universe in its infancy.
This is the largest telescope ever constructed.
>> Inflation near record levels with the fed raises interest rates and how much could that help with goods and services with supply chain issues and Dale Rocheers Roche Rogers and what are you see.
>> It's based on supply shortagers and the crazy tariffs that were put on in 2018 by the previous administration and then, maybe you're going to be taken off and haven't.
>> Ted: Why?
What's gong on?
>> I think it's a political calculation, we need to punish China and it really just punishes us.
The increases in purchases from China the last four years have been over 20%.
And so we're not slowing down buying from China.
Injury paying more for that.
>> Ted: As far as the fed is concerned, you raise the interest rates and prices go down and demand is low and if the supply chain issues are there -- >> It doesn't help.
>> Ted: -- is it making any difference at all?
>> No, no.
The fed doesn't have many tools to manage inflation.
The inflation in the '70s, when Paul Volker and Jimmy Carter and the inflation rate went up to high and we're old enough to remember that and this isn't that.
During the pandemic, we took a million barrels a day off-line and that hasn't come back.
>> Ted: Are there differences between demand driven and supply-driven province and issues?
>> Yes, yes.
Supply-driven doesn't work with the traditional fed tool, which is raising or lowering the interest rate and that works on demand side inflation, but it doesn't really help us get more fuel or more food or all of the stuff we're paying more for.
You could see the fed by raising interest rates and they could put us into recession where the cure would be worse than the disease.
>> Ted: If raising interest rates because of supply chain issues.
You're raising interest rates in the middle of a fire.
>> It won't really -- mine, it takes a long time to affect the supply side and, basically, you won't make the factories any healthier by Jacking up the interest rates.
So it's a problem we're stumbling out of the pandemic where certain kinds of commodities were hot and then other kinds are hot now and during the pandemic, we're really -- like exercise equipment, for example.
Today you can hardly give that stuff away and we flipped on nice clothes and those are popular now and they weren't.
So we're trying to adjust the supply to catch up with the demand.
>> Ted: It sounds like you're saying the power of the fed is somewhat limited.
>> They know it and you don't hear them talking about it, but they can't fix this problem by themselves.
>> Ted: Could they fix the problem by lowering interest rates?
>> That's kind of what they did during the pandemic and a lot of people questioned should they have done that.
The whole spider web network.
>> Ted: How do we fix it?
>> This is Dale and I think we need an office of supply chain management that maybe is part of the department of commerce, that works to coordinate these things because everything is an individual actor.
You know, the supply chain us hear that typically work well because Amazon and Walmart, they're powerful and they want coordinate those supply chains.
A lot of things are ad hoc and we need help.
>> Ted: But did we need that prior to the pandemic and the war in Ukraine?
>> We needed it in 1930.
This is something important.
There's a professor, a good friend of mine getting ready to retire, Iowa state.
He's written a proposal for an office of supply chain management that a lot of us think is a great idea.
>> Ted: What's next in all of this?
>> Well, think inflation will continue to rise until we get the supply problems and we should take off the tariffs even if it's politically unpopular and new inflationary numbers announced and you can call me up and say Dale, you were wrong.
But my guess is that inflation will go from 8.6% to 9.1% or something hike that.
>> Ted: Wow!
>> I hope I'm wrong and I hope it's 6.2%, but it won't be.
>> Ted: Everything happening route now, the dam has to break eventually.
You talk about exercise equipment and will we hit a point -- you can't buy an electric car because of the shortage and once the chips come flooding through, will well see another massive jolt to the economy?
>> Yes, but also then excess inventory.
We never hit it exactly right and always overshoot and come back down and it's something we teach in supply chain school and it happens every time.
>> Ted: You're quite the teacher there at the school of business and good conversation.
Thank you, sir.
>> You bet.
>> Ted: An effort to support teachers and strengthen schools in Arizona.
The million-dollar teacher project was a way to strength.
Arizona schools by providing support teachers and it was started by Lloyd Hopkins and we welcome Lloyd Hopkins and good to see you.
>> Honored to be here.
>> Ted: Give me a better definition of million-dollar teacher project.
What is this all about?
>> To make teachers feel like a million dollars to put it simply and our Mission is to elevate the teaching profession through support, compensation and recognition on title one and marginalized communities.
>> Ted: You say supporting, in what ways?
>> We support schools with three facets.
To increase how the teachers are recognized and by bringing programming onto their campus, to celebrate teachers and bring support directly into the classrooms and resources directly into the classrooms, to help address teacher workloads and boost student achievement and create innovative programming to impact teacher compensation.
>> Ted: Monetary support for financial compensation and how do you do that welcome within the confines of the organization?
>> We don't have a billion dollars to go to an organization and pay all of your teachers more money and we take a more creative approach to that and our approach is we work with businesses to offer meaningful discounts to educators on goods and services.
The average teacher's salary is 42,000, $45,000 a year and we feel we can make that go further and make it feel like a million dollars by working with businesses to offer meaningful discounts to businesses.
>> Ted: Outside of the purview of my education department system and also, I noticed, you offer free lunches, as well.
>> Not necessarily free lunch.
>> Ted: No free lunch, right?
>> But we work with the business in the restaurant community to bring full catered lunch on the school campuses to celebrate teachers.
>> Ted: You have to have approval from the schools.
>> District administrators and principals to set it up and take everything from there.
>> Ted: How is that relationship going?
>> Going well, growing, an increasing demand and how important teachers are and by parents forced into that seat and so now, through the journey of building capacity to serve more.
>> Ted: When you place teacher aids in classrooms and the school has to give its OK and we can't come barging in and here I am to help, right?
>> Exactly.
And, you know, we create partnerships that really revolve around the school's needs and we work with the universities, community colleges, volunteer organizations to recruit teams of interns and volunteers to go into the school campuses to support a great level of teachers.
>> Ted: What kind of reaction are you getting?
>> Teachers are overjoyed, you know.
Because our teachers have the opportunity to experience greater work work/life balance.
They give three thousand hours of their time back and they go out to dinner with their significant other after work and effective don'tthey don't have to spend all night grading papers and the more caring adults, they perform better academically.
>> Ted: You get a better education for these kids.
>> What got you started in all of this?
>> I've worked in different capacities for 15 years and 15 years and worked with drop-out prevention and the roughly circumstance six years and it showed me I'm not personally leftcutout to be a teacher, to leave that for the other brilliant minds and I realized how much of a community issue to have healthy, happy, whole teachers.
>> Ted: Why do you think in some cases that teachers are almost a target these days?
>> You know, to put it simply, anything can be toe polarizing if we want it to be and politics have made their way into our classrooms in ways that it shouldn't.
And our teachers are being put into a position that they didn't sign up for.
And that's one of the main things -- that's one of the things really contributing to the exodus that we're experiencing right now.
We have about two thousand classrooms without a permitted qualified teacher and that's affecting 50,000 students, you know.
And so, it's really sad to see.
>> Ted: Last question, what do you hear most from teachers and what do they want?
>> Man, I mean, the list goes on and on, but they want respect and they want to be valued and they want to be appreciated for the hard work they do everyday to shape our future.
>> Ted: Recognized as professionals.
>> Yes.
>> Ted: Lloyd Hopkins, million-dollar teachers project, thank you.
>> Thank you for having me.
>> Ted: Southwest autism research and resource center is celebrating 25 years of helping people with autism and their families.
ItShe built this into a world-class facility for education and a variety of information about autism and joining you now on Arizona horizon is Denise Resnick founder of first place Arizona and good to have you both here.
Denise, we'll start with you and let's talk about the founding of Sark.
>> 25 years ago, the Internet was emerging and not a source of information for a mother to try to help her child with autism.
Our child was diagnosed 29 years ago when the instance of autism was 2500 and today it's one in 44 and we were looking for answers and we knew we needed a community for more support.
>> Ted: Was there anger mixed in with that frustration?
>> It was heartache and I don't know it was anger but a lot of sadness associated because we were searching for answers.
>> Ted: It must have been difficult.
>> We banned together with two other cofounders and our community.
>> Ted: Daniel, you hear stories, families don't know what to do or where to turn.
>> That's what we're trying to provide for them, the answers that Denise didn't have in the early days, both from a research perspective, clinical perspective and building a supportive community.
>> Ted: What kind of questions do you hear most?
>> Most often, what caused this and what do I do?
And most families are ready to jump into action and how do I help my child and seeing parents of adults with autism, how do I help my adult child?
>> Ted: The original Mission, did it change over the years?
>> It was to support individuals and their families throughout their lifetime and that has continued along with the research and now to be state-wide organization where no family would be unserved within Arizona, but the work we're doing here is global in terms of impact because of what we've been able to do to provide answers.
>> Ted: Recognizes phoenix as the most friendly city and because of you, you know.
>> I take credit for bringing smart people together and passionate leaders.
>> 99.9%.
>> Ted: Talk about Sark's growth.
You've been there for awhile and leading the way and what are you seeing and where is it?
It seems like autism, we're learning more about it and you still want to get more of a push.
>> Absolutely.
What we're doing in research and a study we worked on for three or four years on early diagnosis using a technology that is watching itracking and differences kids with autism and typically developing kids and F.D.A.
clearance and one day in pediatrician offices and when people bring in their child, they can bring them in and know whether or not they're at risk and start treatment early.
>> Ted: And taking aion at an taking taking taking taking taking taking taking taking take action.
>> They slide backwards and very important we give people a picture and experience of what can happen next, in the community, with jobs, with homes and healthcare and continued education and that's where first place is focused.
>> Ted: What kind of response are you getting?
>> Outstanding.
We host institutes symposium annually and we've had people from every state in the country, 12 countries focus on what we've been able to do in our community in terms of the support of ecosystems from early intervention through adulthood and communities are perfectly imperfect and it's a work-in-progress.
>> Ted: Evidence-based practice and that's a biggie.
>> It's a huge part and it's rooted in evidence-based practice, from our room to clinical services and focused on applied behavior analysis where we're seeing tremendous outcomes for adults, childrens and teens.
>> Ted: You've seen how things have grown and changed in this early intervention and that's quite a change, isn't it?
>> It is.
We were told to love, accept and constitutionalize our kid.
When you have hope, it's wonderful.
Ted this >> Ted: Do you have parents who 'do believe it?
They have to be shown something.
This is such a jolt and shock, I would imagine there would be skepticism.
>> Because of the disorder, not everyone achieves the same, but we maximize independence and quality of life.
>> Ted: What's next?
>> We're anchored by a community because it's integrates children with autism with typically developing kids.
Found.
>> Ted: A special congratulations and continued success and thank you for the work you do.
>> Thank you.
>> Thank you.
>> Ted: And that is it for now.
I'm Ted Simons and thank you for joining us and you have a great evening.
Coming up in the next half hour on Arizona PBS, on Cronkite news, a school supply drive coping with high prices on break it down, how much time should children spend looking at a screen?

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