Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future
Wildfire Mapping
Season 5 Episode 48 | 9m 30sVideo has Closed Captions
Laura Paskus talks with Steve Bassett, who has been creating perimeter maps for wildfires.
Using public data from the U.S. Forest Service, Steve Bassett, Director of Planning and Spatial Analysis with The Nature Conservancy, has been creating perimeter maps each morning, showing the progression of the Hermits Peak-Calf Canyon Fire in northern New Mexico.
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Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future is a local public television program presented by NMPBS
Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future
Wildfire Mapping
Season 5 Episode 48 | 9m 30sVideo has Closed Captions
Using public data from the U.S. Forest Service, Steve Bassett, Director of Planning and Spatial Analysis with The Nature Conservancy, has been creating perimeter maps each morning, showing the progression of the Hermits Peak-Calf Canyon Fire in northern New Mexico.
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Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorshipLaura: HIGH STEVE BASSET, THANKS FOR JOINING ME TODAY.
Bassett: GREAT TO BE HERE.
Laura: YOU HAVE BEEN MAPPING HERMIT'S PEAK AND CALF CANYON FIRE.
I HAVE BEEN SEEING YOUR MAPS EVERY DAY.
I WAS WONDERING IF WE COULD START WITH WHERE DO YOU GET YOUR DATA AND HOW ARE YOU PUTTING THESE TOGETHER.
Bassett: I HAVE BEEN MAPS USING DATA PROVIDED BY THE U.S. FOREST SERVICE.
THE DAILY PROGRESSION MAPS THAT I HAVE BEEN POSTING ONLINE INCORPORATE INFRARED FLIGHT DATA SO EACH EVENING THE FOREST SERVICE OR ITS CONTRACTORS FLY OVER THE FIRES AND THE HOT SPOTS AND PERIMETER OF THE FIRE IS EASILY MAPPABLE FROM THAT HEAT DATA.
AND, SO, THEY UPLOAD IT TO A SERVER, AND IT TYPICALLY SITS THERE UNTIL A PUBLIC INFORMATION OFFICER HAS TIME TO DEVELOP IT INTO A FORMAT THAT WORKS FOR THE PUBLIC.
AND WITH THE SKILLS THAT I HAVE AND KIND OF DESPERATION I WAS FEELING I WENT OUT AND GRABBED THAT DATA AND DID SOMETHING WITH IT TO GET SOME MORE INFORMATION OUT IN THE PUBLIC HANDS AND SHOWING THIS DAILY PROGRESSION, DAILY GROWTH, COMMUNICATES A LOT OF THE INFORMATION THAT PEOPLE NEED WHEN THEY ARE THINKING ABOUT THESE FIRES.
IS MY WATERSHED BURNING?
IS MY COMMUNITY BURNING?
WHERE IS THE FIRE HEADED?
WHAT ARE THE FUELS IN FRONT OF IT.
AND TO BE ABLE TO PROVIDE THAT MAP, USING THAT AUTHORITATIVE DATA HAS JUST HELPED ME FEEL LESS HELPLESS AND FEEL LIKE I AM HELPING DURING THIS CATASTROPHE.
Laura: I HAVE REALLY APPRECIATED LOOKING AT YOUR MAPS EVERY MORNING.
LIKE YOU SAID, YOU'RE SHOWING HOW THE FIRE IS MOVING, WHERE IT IS MOVING, AND THE THING THAT I HAVE REALLY APPRECIATED IS YOU LAY OUT THOSE NUMBERS EVERY MORNING OF HOW MUCH THE FIRE GREW THE PREVIOUS DAY.
I KNOW THE HERMIT'S PEAK CALF CANYON FIRE NOW HAS BEEN BURNING SINCE APRIL.
IT IS BIG, IT IS COMPLEX BUT I AM CURIOUS IF THERE ARE A FEW THINGS MAYBE WITHIN THE PAST WEEK THAT HAVE REALLY JUMPED OUT AT YOU ABOUT ITS PROGRESS OR ITS BEHAVIOR?
Bassett: FIRST I WANT TO ACKNOWLEDGE THE TREMENDOUS JOB THAT THE INCIDENT COMMAND TEAM AND ALL THE FIREFIGHTERS HAVE -- ALL THE EFFORTS THEY HAVE PUT IN TO SHAPE THE WAY THIS FIRE SPREADS AND PROTECTING OUR COMMUNITIES AND WATERSHEDS.
THE MAPPING IS KIND OF INCIDENTAL TO THAT BUT I AM GLAD TO BE ABLE TO PROVIDE THAT.
HATS OFF TO THOSE FOLKS AND THOSE COMMUNITIES.
THE BIGGEST PATTERNS THAT I HAVE SEEN IN THESE DATA LATELY HAVE BEEN FIRE SPREADING MORE TO THE WEST INTO THE PECOS WILDERNESS BUT ALSO TO THE NORTH, JUST THE TRENDS IN THE WIND PATTERNS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY ERRATIC THAT WE DON'T KNOW WHERE THIS FIRE IS GOING TO BURN.
ITS PERIMETER IS HUGE SO ANYWHERE THERE IS ACTIVE BURNING WITHIN THAT PERIMETER HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD USUALLY PUSHED BY THE WIND.
I'LL SHARE THE MAP FROM THIS MORNING.
YESTERDAY'S GROWTH IS THE DARKEST RED AND IT WAS A REALLY GREAT DAY RELATIVE TO THE PRECEDING WEEKS, JUST OVER 1600 ACRES BURNED YESTERDAY.
SO, THE INCREASED HUMIDITY HELPED WITH THAT.
YOU CAN SEE A DASHED LINE REPRESENTING THE BOUNDARY OF THE PECOS WILDERNESS.
IT IS STARTING TO GET A FOOTHOLD OVER THERE.
LOTS OF CONTINUOUS FUELS FOR IT TO BURN THROUGH, BUT THIS GROWTH TO THE NORTHWEST HAS BEEN KIND OF THE MOST EXTREME GROWTH RECENTLY.
SOME OF THESE LARGER AREAS, FROM PAST WIND EVENTS, PAST EXTREME RED FLAG DAYS, WERE REALLY SHOCKING, THE SCALE OF THE FIRE SPREAD WITHIN A DAY.
THESE DARKER GRAYS ARE WHERE THE FIRE WAS ALMOST TWO WEEKS -- OVER TWO WEEKS AGO AS IT MADE SOME BIG RUNS TOWARDS THESE COMMUNITIES, THROUGH AND TOWARDS THESE COMMUNITIES.
SO, WE HAVE SEEN MODERATION OF FIRE BEHAVIOR SINCE THEN BUT STILL A LOT OF POTENTIAL OUT THERE FOR GROWTH.
Laura: THERE WAS ONE DAY LAST WEEK, I RECALL YOU POSTING ONE OF THE MAPS AND THE PREVIOUS DAY THERE HAD BEEN LIKE 30,000 ACRES OF GROWTH.
I MEAN THAT JUST SEEMS DEVASTATING AND REMARKABLE.
SO, WHEN WE LOOK AT A FIRE PERIMETER MAP LIKE THAT, I LIKE YOUR MAPS BECAUSE THEY KIND OF SHOW THE CHANGES OVER TIME, BUT WHEN WE LOOK AT A MAP LIKE THAT, DOES THAT MEAN THAT THERE IS FIRE BURNING OR THAT A FIRE HAS BURNED WITHIN THAT ENTIRE PERIMETER OR ARE THERE POCKETS WITHIN THERE THAT MAYBE HAVEN'T BURNED OR HAVE BEEN BURNED PAST?
Bassett: SO, WITHIN A PERIMETER LIKE THAT, THERE WILL BE VARYING LEVELS OF FIRE INTENSITY AND BURN SEVERITY.
I AM GOING TO SHARE A SATELLITE IMAGE.
THIS IS A FALSE COLOR IMAGERY OF THE CALF CANYON FIRE FROM MAY 13 AND SOME OF THE NOTABLE ELEMENTS OF THE FLAME IN FRONT SHOWING UP IN ORANGE, THE BRIGHTEST ORANGE COLORS, THE SMOKE VISIBLE.
YOU CAN SEE THE BURNED, DARKEST BURNED AREAS IN PURPLE.
THEY WOULD SHOW UP BLACK IF WE WERE UP IN A SATELLITE LOOKING DOWN, BUT WITH THE FALSE COLOR, DIFFERENT BANDS THAT WE CAN'T SEE INFRARED MADE VISIBLE, THEY SHOW UP AS THIS DEEP PURPLE.
YOU CAN SEE A MOSAIC OF BURN SEVERITIES IN SOME PARTS OF THE FIRE BUT OTHER AREAS IT IS ALL PURPLE AND THOSE ARE THE PLACES WHERE TREE MORTALITY IS GOING TO BE VERY HIGH.
ON A HUGE MAP LIKE THIS OF THIS HUGE FIRE, THOSE PATCHES LOOK RELATIVELY SMALL BUT SOME OF THEM ARE MILES ACROSS IN ALL DIRECTIONS.
MORE RECENTLY WE HAVE BEEN SEEING HIGH SEVERITY FIRE JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE, NO LOW SEVERITY FIRE.
I IMAGINE IT IS STILL HAPPENING OUT ON THE GROUNDS.
WE ARE LOOKING FORWARD TO DOING SOME ADDITIONAL ANALYSIS TO LOOK AT THE EFFECTS OF FOREST RESTORATION TREATMENTS AND THE KIND OF PATTERNS WITHIN THAT BURN SEVERITY.
Laura: LET'S TALK ABOUT THAT.
WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT FOREST TREATMENTS IN THE AREA THAT HAS ALREADY BURNED OR THE AREAS WHERE IT IS MOVING?
DO WE HAVE A SENSE OF WHAT IS ON THE GROUND THERE?
Bassett: I DON'T HAVE A MAP OF THOSE TREATMENTS BUT THERE IS A GREAT MAP PRODUCED BY FOLKS AT HIGHLANDS UNIVERSITY.
THEY HAVE AN INTERACTIVE MAP VIEWER.
THE NEW MEXICO FOREST AND WATERSHED RESTORATION INSTITUTE HAS PRODUCED A MAP THAT SHOWS THE OVERLAY OF THE CURRENT FIRE PERIMETER AND ALL THE TREATMENTS THAT HAVE HAPPENED TO DATE.
THERE HAVE BEEN A NUMBER OF THEM BUT PROBABLY NOT TO A DEGREE WHERE IT ALTERED THE TRAJECTORY OF THE FIRE ON THE LANDSCAPE SCALE, MAYBE LOCALLY PROTECTED RESOURCES AND RESERVED SOME OF THE HABITAT AND ECOSYSTEM, HELPED WITH THOSE AREAS.
Laura: AS YOU HAVE BEEN PAYING ATTENTION TO THIS AND, OF COURSE, THIS WEEK, THIS PARTICULAR FIRE, THE HERMIT'S PEAK CALF CANYON FIRE SURPASSED THE WHITEWATER BALDY FIRE IN SIZE.
ARE THERE PARTICULAR -- AS YOU HAVE BEEN WATCHING AND MAPPING, ARE THERE CERTAIN THINGS THAT HAVE SURPRISED YOU OR IS THIS KIND OF ACTING LIKE A FIRE WOULD ACT IN OUR CLIMATE CHANGED WORLD?
Bassett: YEAH.
UNFORTUNATELY, I HAVEN'T BEEN SURPRISED.
AS WE ARE LOOKING AT THE EXTENT OF THE DRYING AND THE WIND, THIS IS THE TYPE OF FIRE THAT HAPPENS UNDER THOSE CONDITIONS.
THE CONTINUITY OF FUELS, ONCE A FIRE STARTS THERE IS VERY LITTLE STOPPING IT IN THIS LANDSCAPE.
I HAVE GOT A CONTEXT MAP HERE THAT JUST SHOWS, IT IS CONTINUOUS FOREST VIRTUALLY ALL THE WAY TO COLORADO AND BEYOND WHERE WE ARE SEEING THE THREE ACTIVE FIRES IN NORTHERN NEW MEXICO, CERRO PELADO, CALF CANYON HERMIT'S PEAK AND COOKS PEAK.
THERE IS VERY LITTLE -- THERE IS A FEW BURN SCARS.
SOME FIRES CERTAINLY OFFER SOME FUEL ALTERATION BUT IT IS AN OLD ENOUGH FIRE SCARS THAT THE FIRE IS BURNING THROUGH IT.
THERE HAS BEEN A FEW FIRES NORTH OF THE CURRENT FIRE PERIMETER BUT VERY CONTINUOUS FUELS OVER A LARGE AREA, VERY LITTLE TO BREAK UP THE SPREAD OF FIRE.
Laura: WELL, THANK YOU, STEVE, FOR JOINING ME.
I APPRECIATE YOUR MAPS WHICH, LIKE YOU MENTIONED, ARE COMING FROM THE OFFICIAL SOURCES OF DATA BUT YOU'RE PUTTING THEM UP THERE IN REALLY HELPFUL WAYS, SO THANK YOU.
Bassett: THANK YOU, LAURA.
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Our Land: New Mexico’s Environmental Past, Present and Future is a local public television program presented by NMPBS