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A group blog composed of scientists, show hosts and producers, Correlations is the official blog of WIRED SCIENCE. Tips, questions or comments? E-mail us at correlations@kcet.org.

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Liz Burr
Liz Burr

is the Interactive Project Manager for WIRED SCIENCE Digital.

Damon Gambuto
Damon Gambuto

is a producer on the WIRED SCIENCE television series.

Tamsin Gray
Tamsin Gray

is living in Antarctica to research climate change and the ozone hole.

Chris Hardwick
Chris Hardwick

is a co-host on the WIRED SCIENCE television series.

Clifford Johnson
Clifford Johnson

is a professor of Physics at the University of Southern California.

Sheril Kirshenbaum
Sheril Kirshenbaum

is a marine biologist at Duke University.

Tara C. Smith
Tara C. Smith

is an assistant professor of epidemiology in Iowa.

Michael Tobis
Michael Tobis

is a climatologist at UT Austin working on improving climate models.

Ziya Tong
Ziya Tong

is a host and field producer for WIRED SCIENCE.

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12.05.07

Simple is Beautiful: Why I love my science

Tamsin Gray by Tamsin Gray     Department: Earth

Climate change science is special. And I love it. Heres why...

With so many of the details of modern science inaccessible to all but those with specialist training, monitoring the environment can be refreshingly simple. The contrast between the simplicity of experiment and the profound implications of the results makes climate change science especially striking.

I'm certainly not saying that the vast jigsaw of climate change is an easy one to put together. The many scientists involved in computational modeling of global circulation or international initiatives to collect mile long ice cores and such like, would hang me out to dry for such a suggestion!

The fact remains however that it's often the simple things that prove the most effective over time. Indeed, the aforementioned computer models often rely upon the pure and simple act of filling a flask with air or measuring a pole in the snow to provide the data that fuels them. 

Time is the key. When monitoring the climate it's often necessary to anticipate ourselves, by which I mean collecting long sets of data without knowing what we'll see or even what we're looking for. A lot of scientific experiments are one off attempts to prove a particular theory right or wrong. Years are often spent developing a theory in intricate detail before it's put to the reality test. Climate change science has its feet more firmly on the ground. Essentially, we're just describing the world out there, meticulously and methodically, building up long sets of data that tell us what's going on just outside the window. It's these real records that make the reality of climate change so hard to deny.

MAKS.JPGAir sampling is a great example of simple science with far-reaching results. Each week, all around the world,  professional and amateur scientists alike pack up their suitcases with a pair of flasks and wonder off to fish for an air sample (see photo). The flasks make their way back to Boulder, Colorado where NOAA analyse them to trace variations in greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane.  This air sampling, which has been going on for 50 years (see above link), shows a dramatic rise in carbon dioxide levels which remains even after any variations in the natural carbon cycle have been factored in. The graphs of carbon dioxide and temperature have been shown (using ice core records) to correlate very closely. This basically means, as you'll notice is a reoccurring theme in my posts, that the carbon dioxide we're pumping into the atmosphere is responsible for the recent observed global warming. Please tell me that I am preaching to the converted! The point is though, that this very simple act of collecting air in a flask has, over time, produced life-changing results. 

When reading about science I've often battled with the fact that whilst the overarching concept fascinates me, the details quickly have me turning the page. If I'm going to do science, I say to myself, I want to feel as if I'm contributing to something real! In so many cases it's feels like a long, complex and tedious journey until you get your hands on any tangible results. Not so in climate change research. Not only is the link between collecting an air sample and monitoring global warming refreshingly direct, but the consequences of the results immediately reach way beyond the scope of academic interest straight into the lives of everyone around us.

So what's the best thing about working on the front line? It's the constant motivation to go out and collect more data knowing that the next breakthrough may be just a shovel full of snow away!


Tags: carbon dioxide, climate change, experiment, observation

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Tamsin, yet another great piece. I do like you argument that science does not have to be glamorous or complicated to be worthwhile. Even simple observations and experiments can help us better understand the world around us and provide further proof that we are detrimentally affecting our environment.

"This air sampling, which has been going on for 50 years (see above link), shows a dramatic rise in carbon dioxide levels which remains even after any variations in the natural carbon cycle have been factored in. ... This basically means, as you'll notice is a reoccurring [sic] theme in my posts, that the carbon dioxide we're pumping into the atmosphere is responsible for the recent observed global warming."

Oh, BS. This does not prove a cause-and-effect.

I know a man that was born 50 years ago. In that 50 years, carbon dioxide emissions have risen. Using your logic, I could therefore presume that had this man not been born, the emissions would not have risen.

Correlation does not equal causation. Also known as the logical fallacy "Cum Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc".

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=Cum+Hoc+Ergo+Propter+Hoc&btnG=Search

of course the ice core carbon is several hundred years AFTER the rise in temps - something which throws that notion out the Gore-y window.....

I suppose that I fall into the skeptical, yet very curious. That old hole in the ozone layer is still there getting larger and smaller due to so many factors, including the millions of tons of ozone A being pumped in the ozone layer by electrical storms throughout the planet. Now that the money has been made and continues to be made, we have done a very good job in boosting the Gross Domestic Product in not only our country but, likely many others. Anytime that science discovers an apparent problem that has importance to all persons on earth, that primes the pump for more research which is the way research always works. Research is never done, but why? Because we will never be able to gather all of the relevant factors involved that remain to be found, and so additional research is needed to find those factors. I Einstein's "Theory of Relativity" complete? No, it remains a workable tool but it is far from being complete. I submit that we do not have enough facts to make an absolute out of mankinds use of fossil fuel, that we know produces carbon dioxide, (simple science) to have a major affect on global warming. We have been warming since the year of 1500. Our planet wobbles on its axis, the Moon is creeping away from earth, solar flares do a lot of things that we have yet to determine, our relative position in the Solar System and the effect produced by that is still being researched, and I will end with our relative position in our own galaxy and its relationship to the other galaxies in the universe all must factor into global warming. Why? Because we have not found those factors that might influence it. Is global warming "bad science?" No,it is ongoing science that will and should continue. Are there individuals out there that are going to increase our Gross Domestic Products based upon incomplete scientific studies? Well of course. Why did Al Gore write his book. I am sure it had to have something with moving money. Think about it. Smokey

What impact on vegetation growth does the elevated co2 cause? I saw a "mission to mars" experiment that involved using plants to convert the co2 back to breathable o2. The scientists were surprised to discover that when the crew exercised (thus releasing increased amounts of co2) the plants converted the air at a faster rate in the elevated carbon rich environment. Perhaps those levels are more substantial than what we are experiencing globally.

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