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The story's a little longer more complex than that. In the first half of the
1990s,the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) undertook to consider
whether or not the electric utility industry in California ought to be
restructured. The drivers for that were recognition by consumers--typically,
consumers of lots of electrical...
Not individual residential consumers at all. ... The large energy consumers had
seen the natural gas industry go through a similar deregulatory process. They
believed that they would be better buyers, the customers, on behalf of their
own individual consumer needs than they would be to stay part of some bundled
class, a nameless, faceless, class of similarly structured companies. They'd
had a good experience in gas, and they decided to move on to electricity.
That's the roots of the desire to make the change.
All of the above. They are companies who use a large amount of energy, or for
whom energy is a large component of their cost structure. ...
What we said at the time was that the large consumers who want to have more
freedom in their ability to purchase electrical power are, in large part, the
same large consumers that were successful in doing that in natural gas. When
natural gas was being deregulated, we opposed them. We learned, as a result,
that it's not a good idea to be on the wrong side of a strongly felt belief
that customers have. So we elected to advocate for them, rather than oppose
them, when electricity deregulation started to move. ...
I think that in the long term, on any broad national scale, that's exactly what
we're going to find. In almost every energy market in North America, we're in
a transition period, from a heavily regulated to a more competitive
marketplace. Whether you look at Texas or Pennsylvania or New England, what
you find is we're in the middle--not yet through a major part of the
transition. That's the case in California as well.
It's certainly going to be a challenging time to move through these
transitions. One of the things that we advocated very strongly, that I
personally did, was that the transition period in California be much longer
than California chose to make it. The rationale behind that was to provide a
more structured period within which both the market's behavior and the consumer
opportunities could work their way through the system.
We advocated a longer time period for a gradual introduction of competition to
different segments of the consumer groups, with larger, more sophisticated
consumers that had some buying power, which had the ability to interact with
competitive commodity markets. They'd have the first opportunity to be exposed
to market forces.
We advocated a restructuring of the electric power industry that had many
elements in it that were never adopted by the California legislature or the
California regulators. We're very clear about the ones that we did like and
the ones that we didn't like. ...
I think that people were getting used to the process for the first couple of
years.
I think what you're talking about is the movement of proceeds from selling
power plants--a constituent part, but not a necessary ingredient in
deregulating energy markets. Not every state has chosen to include that in
their elements. When those funds, when those plants were sold at greater than
the value they were on our books, the cash for that certainly was available to
be returned to the shareholders, and that's where it went.
It is in fact a holding company. We were pretty clear that we felt that the
change in the regulatory environment was one that would have a reduction of the
business opportunity we have in half of California. We give up our monopoly on
half of one state in exchange for an opportunity to do business in the other 49
1/2 states.
Exactly.
Strictly going to capital markets, as well, to raise the funds.
That's exactly what companies do.
That's exactly what companies do. ...
The prices didn't return with the same kind of rapid response in the California
market that they had in virtually every one of the others.
Yes.
That was, I would say, much more their response when prices in San Diego moved.
The issue was when the wholesale prices went up. That's the fundamental driver
that took place, when wholesale prices in California went up. That was in June
2000.
Not terribly long after they went up, when they didn't go back down. That's
when we realized it.
Right.
There were a number of different ... communications, as well as filings, that
we made with the PUC to try to get the situation under control.
I think that that statement misses a very important added element. What the CPUC did not do, ... in addition to [granting us authority to transition to long-term contracts, is] identify the rules under which they expected us to use that authority. We called them the reasonableness standards.
There are many cases where the California PUC adopts an authority, or grants an
authority and provides with it a clear statement of the expectation under which
that authority would be used. We asked for those upfront reasonableness
standards over and over again. The CPUC acknowledged that they were needed.
The governor said they were critically needed. The FERC said the lack of
granting those upfront reasonableness standards was the major reason why the
utilities didn't enter into long-term contracts as much as otherwise would have
been the case.
We did a few. ...
That's correct.
The fundamental additional element in our company is our National Energy
Group.
The National Energy Group builds, owns and operates power plants across the
U.S. It operates interstate natural gas pipelines, and it trades gas and
electricity commodities. ...
I haven't seen a credible explanation for why the southern California prices
went to $50 when the national prices only went to, let's say, $8 or $9. I
think that has yet to be explained, and has raised questions in many, many
people's mind. The pipeline that we have in the Pacific Northwest that brings
gas to California's northern border didn't experience price spikes like that to
any comparable degree.
That's interesting. I'm not aware on a personal level that those transactions
took place. I'm certainly aware of the prices, and they were very, very
high.
What I said was that there's no explanation that I've heard yet for the prices
being as high as they were in southern California.
I'm not going to get into a debate here or elsewhere with El Paso. I'm going
to describe what I believe. What I believe is that there's yet to be a
credible explanation for the high prices that occurred in southern California.
...
The most interesting finding for me is when the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission said that they believed that unjust, unreasonable prices had been
charged in the California market, because they're the relevant regulator of the
wholesale market. They've got an obligation under the Federal Power Act to
only allow power to be sold at "just, reasonable prices." That's a term in
quotes, I guess, somewhere in one of the acts that gives them their authority.
So I thought it was pretty profound when they said, "Unjust and
unreasonable."
We have encouraged them very directly to move against any generator whose
rates, in fact, were unjust and unreasonable, and require them to issue
refunds, which would go back to consumers. ... FERC has the authority to do
that. Price levels vary because of lots of factors. Natural gas prices have
gone up by a factor of four. So if you're operating a natural gas-fired power
plant, one of your cost elements went up a lot. We rely on FERC to make those
findings, and we have encouraged FERC to act on the ones that they've made.
Right.
That's correct.
That's very different. First of all, that's not accurate. Second of all,
we've disclosed that an extremely small fraction of their business is
associated with California. I can't imagine...
I can't imagine where you got half the profit from. ...
We testified; we filed with the SEC that in fact that had been what was said.
That's correct. But the audit results that you just referred to didn't ... do
anything other than ignore the overhead costs of that business.
I testified to that fact that we've released our financial results for the
year. It's pretty clear that we didn't make any extremely large fraction of
the business in California.
We made some profit in California.
I don't certainly reach the conclusion that in fact there were bidding
strategies, let alone that we were aware of them. ...
I don't know if there was manipulation in the electricity market. I know two things. Prices really went high. I know that FERC has made a conclusion that unjust, unreasonable rates were charged. But I've been asked, did I think that participants in that market had to manipulate in order to collect the high prices that they did? I think that it wasn't necessary for them to do so. I'm not going to try characterize whether they did or they didn't.
But the rules in California that were chosen to set wholesale prices were going
to result in unbelievably high prices in periods of shortage. So it is
conceivable that people didn't have to manipulate, because the system by itself
generated pretty large prices, and therefore pretty good-sized [profits].
The way the system was designed originally--with a daily spot market, with
utilities effectively precluded from being able to enter into long-term
contracts, with a second price auction--all of those things, in a period of
shortage, ganged up together to drive prices very hard. With or without
manipulation, if it ever occurred, I think the same phenomenon is the case.
The prices were going to get up very high, and probably stay high. ...
We've provided a basis for the National Energy Group to obtain its own credit
rating, so that it can raise funds and not be affected by the bankruptcy of its
sibling business unit, Pacific Gas and Electric Company. We put that structure
in place and received approval for it in order to make sure that that part of
our business wouldn't be damaged if the other part of our business went into
voluntary or involuntary bankruptcy. So what you see is inside the National
Energy Group now, and it has its own credit ratings. They range from BBB to A,
depending on what part of the business...
It's a successful business.
It's a successful business that got its start because we believed that the
nation was going to deregulation, that consumers wanted it, and regulators and
legislators would approve it. We wanted to take the skills that we had and use
them in this newly deregulating business environment. So what they do is they
operate natural gas pipelines and power plants--something we know a lot about
doing in this corporate family.
A small fraction of it does.
Right. ...
It will only be good for the consumer if, in the long term, it provides lower
prices and more choice of suppliers. I think the average consumer, the
residential consumer, or the homeowner, my neighbors, won't feel that they get
any benefit out of it if they don't see prices that they like better, and if
they don't see choice that they didn't have before. ...
It's going to happen when the supply shortages across the country come back
under control. The principal drivers for price spikes are supply shortages.
It's going to take a return to the supply/demand balance that utilities used to
have.
I'm not sure that the genie will ever go back in the bottle. I think that
folks who want to see this whole deregulation process go backwards--I'm not
sure that that's even feasible to think about. Consumers, under the old
scheme, because of the increase in natural gas prices, would be paying higher
rates in 2001 than they were paying in 1998, just because natural gas prices
always used to flow through to consumers, whether it was natural gas that they
consumed, or whether it was electricity that resulted from natural gas.
Consumers were always at the receiving end. ... My point is that it's not
deregulation that caused prices to move from wholesale to consumer. That
phenomenon has always been in place. And so price expectations have got to be
relative to the cost of the raw materials that make the power.
Interestingly, there were lots of people who didn't like that old system-- a
lot of the institutional ideology, which didn't want to see monopoly entities;
nobody seems to like monopolies wherever they occur. I think a lot of the
ideology that didn't like monopolies didn't like all of that centralized
planning. ...
Deregulating the electricity market, or even the natural gas market, has never
been the cause of residential consumers in any state that I know of. ... The
deregulatory forces were driven by two main things: large consumers of large
amounts of energy who wanted to be able to buy it directly--not through, in
essence, a middleman. And the ideological view that monopolies didn't need to
be in the power generation business if there was a competitive alternative that
appeared to be there. ...
We wanted to be able to have an independent credit rating capability in those
businesses, so they'd be able to continue in business if other parts of the
company went into bankruptcy. It's not a particularly uncommon technique for
businesses of our type. And I'll ignore the characterization that this other
party made. It was publicly announced in advance that we were doing it. It
was approved in a public forum. ...
Yes, I think we are. I think in the bankruptcy, in the Chapter 11 forum that
we're in right now in the federal bankruptcy court, we'll be able to assemble a
plan of reorganization that will return us to financial health and let us pay
all of our valid debts in full, and be back in business.
You bet. What's interesting in that regard is to think about what the state
wants for the $4-plus billion that it's already rolled up this year. They want
ratepayers to pay it in full, of course. They don't want to bear those costs.
No business can stay in business and charge consumers a much smaller fraction
of the wholesale cost. No business can stay in business doing that. I don't
believe any state can stay in business and subsidize costs like that either.
And I don't think California intends to.
I've been very clear that I think that they should only be allowed to retain
funds for prices that are found to be just reasonable. I think that, at the
end of the day, that's all they're going to be allowed to retain, and the
balance is going to be returned.
"Just and reasonable" is a standard that's established in the federal
legislation that puts the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission in business. ...
No, I don't, under the principle of separation of those businesses, any more
than I would expect the utilities' ratepayers to solve problems if we had some
in some other part of our business. ...
No one likes the blackouts. I don't know a single entity who thinks that
they're a good thing for any part of the state of California, or any
surrounding states, for that matter.
The culture is still in the company to keep the lights on, to keep the gas
flowing. We, like any other utility company, have had in place the plans we
would have to follow if there wasn't enough supply. In the past, that's
usually been much more due to natural disasters--earthquakes, fires--than to an
economic disaster. We've never had a supply shortage. ...
I don't agree with that at all. We have had the behavior of the holding
company and its relationship with the utility audited over and over again, and
not found any action or behavior that wasn't appropriate. We had the assembly
of the oversight committee examine that and conclude that the company followed
the rules. I think it's just wishful thinking on someone's part that there
should be a return of that.
If it got sold to the independent system operator or the power exchange, it
winds up wherever it winds up. We don't have any plants in California. We
trade, but we don't have any plants in California.
Yes, I have agreed a couple of times in our conversation that our trading
affiliate has done business in California, that it's represented a very small
fraction of its earnings, that its total business is a small fraction of the
company's earnings.
So you're asking a bit of a tautology, in a sense.
Yes, that's absolutely not the case.
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