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Because [electricity is] a natural monopoly. ... It's a very capital-intensive
thing, and you didn't want to have duplicate wires going down the streets. ...
So in order to not have duplicate equipment that the consumers are paying for,
the idea was that each utility had its assigned area, called a franchise. The
deal was that they had a legal responsibility to have enough power so the
lights were always on, and we didn't have rolling blackouts. In return, they
were given a price that reflected the cost of building the power plants plus a
reasonable profit. ... So we had kind of a cost-based regulated system that
brought electricity to all of America, and it worked rather well. ...
... [Public power] got its great boost in the 1930s, when we tamed the rivers
and created a lot of hydropower in the process. ... This surplus hydropower was
sold to the municipal systems and to the [Rural Electrification Administration]
co-ops, who ... brought electricity to rural America. If you're old enough,
you remember when electricity didn't exist on the farm. The private power
companies never made it beyond the city limits, because it wasn't economical.
So it took ... money from the federal government and some technical knowledge
in the idea of forming co-ops, which was one of the big deals of the New Deal.
That brought electricity out into the rest of America.
On the contrary. It wasn't profitable, so they didn't do it. ... It was a
major, almost revolutionary change in the lifestyles of people on the farms,
and it only happened because of governmental action. ...
Let me just tell you something, having dealt with electric power customers for the last 25 years. The customers are interested in two things: the price and the reliability. And I think you'll find that the customers of the Tennessee Valley Authority ... are very, very happy with their performance. ...
Deregulation is dumb, if you want to use those words. But it's inherently a
bad idea in its purest form, which is the way the free market people say.
Something like electricity, that cannot be stored and is the oxygen of modern
civilization, cannot be allowed to fluctuate up and down in price and in
reliability and availability under a free market. We've had a vivid
demonstration that it is inherently a dumb idea if you don't combine it with a
public power presence to make sure that there's always a surplus.
Look at the facts. What's happened to the price of natural gas under
deregulation? You ask the consumers of natural gas in California or anywhere
else in the country, where half the homes are heated with natural gas, how they
feel about that product's price today. The price has gone up 50 percent to 60
percent. Consumers are angry about the fact that a free market turns out to be
very expensive. Now, the freedom is for the producer to pick our pockets,
literally. I'm not saying that they're doing anything illegally. But the very
fact that they are free to charge what the market will bear is turning out to
be very expensive for the consumer.
Think of what they're actually saying. They're saying that the market price for natural gas became so low under the free market, when there was a surplus, that the producers stopped drilling. And so the market really wasn't satisfactory for the producers. Then, when they stopped drilling, it shifted with volatility into a shortage, and now the consumers are paying through the nose. Aren't they making the case that that kind of volatility is unacceptable, to either the producer or the consumer, and that there needs to be a kind of a floor and a ceiling? Because [in] the free market, it's OK for the price of fur coats to go up and down. It's OK for carrots to go up and down, or almost anything else that you can do without or that you can store.
It's not OK for the oxygen of life in this high-energy civilization. That's
the lesson we need to learn. The economists, they have an interesting word;
it's a Freudian slip. They call it "externalities."
That's their word for saying that the impact on the consumer, you just have to live with it. After all, it's kind of like deregulating the police department and saying, "Well, we have a shortage of police, a few people get murdered, it doesn't matter. Then we'll hire more police and it'll all work out." They are without any human feeling as to the impact on the consumer, or, actually, the impact on small, independent producers when the price gets too low. This volatility, what we're learning, is no good. ...
The economists have a religious belief that there's no market price that could
be bad, and there's nothing that's regulated that could be good. But look at
this industry. We grew from nothing to having the best power system in the
world, and at the lowest prices under regulation. And what's happened under
deregulation? We've got the whole state of California ignoring their education
problems, ignoring everything and focusing entirely on fixing something that
wasn't broke. If that's not a vivid example of the fact that we shouldn't be
doing it, I don't know what is. ...
The latest lament of the free marketeers is that we didn't do it right here in California. But they're just dead wrong, because as a matter of fact, for the first year and a half, when there was a surplus, the prices did go down. But the price was so low that Enron or anybody else didn't put any capital into building new plants. Our economy came roaring back, the demand went up, and these free marketeers didn't build any power plants because it didn't pencil out. Now we're in a shortage and they're taking us to the cleaners. ...
My position is that the reason that the governor and the legislature want to
create a California power authority is so that we'll be in charge of our own
destiny, and we won't have to hope and pray that the Enrons of the world will
build us power plants. If they don't, we'll do it ourselves. ...
Isn't that oxymoronic? The free market needs a cop? It's kind of like George W. Bush saying we need a national energy policy. They've got one. It's praying for mild weather. That's their policy.
They don't want to do anything that will benefit the consumer by putting a cap
on prices; like toughing up the standards for the mileage of cars that will
save more oil than you'll ever find in the Arctic; or doing anything that will
really get us off of the imported oil that affects the people that give the big
money, like the automobile industry, the oil industry and people like that.
It's factually incorrect. All that was deregulated was the wellhead price.
The transportation of natural gas was regulated quite well by FERC, from the
inception of that industry until two years ago, when they just went on a
sit-down strike ... [and] stopped regulating both the wholesale price of
electricity and the transportation of natural gas and left it to the market.
The price of natural gas has gone through the ceiling out here in California,
because the transportation, which costs less than a dollar [per thousand cubic
feet], went up in price to $15, $20. It's still way up there. Now the
wellhead price has tripled also. If their idea that natural gas is a great
success story for deregulation, they're going to get chalk therapy at the
election booth, because the people of this country are paying the price, and
they know what's happening. ...
That's a true statement.
Well, Loretta has her point of view. It's more fun to say that they're
conniving and plotting, and in a conspiracy, but it's simpler than that. If
you and I were both laying on the operating table in a hospital, about to go
under and we both needed oxygen, and the loudspeaker said there's just enough
oxygen for one person, we'd be each bidding everything we had to get that
oxygen. There doesn't need to be a conspiracy. When there's a shortage of
something vital to life, the consumers bid against each other to bid the price
up. And the producer cleans up, legally, doing what comes naturally, charging
what the market will bear. That's what's happening, and the fault lies in a
lot of people. ...
No, because the federal government still has the responsibility to regulate the
wholesale price, and they're not doing it. We're maybe the approximate cause,
but they're still in the chain that could've stopped the damage, and they
didn't do it. In fact, they're stubbornly refusing to do it. The law is not
discretionary. The law says that the rates must be just and reasonable, and
nobody thinks that there's a competitive market. That's why I say they're on a
sit-down strike.
He hasn't looked at the history of the electric power industry. I worked for the old Federal Power Commission that administered the same law in 1960, 1961, 1962. We started then systematically regulating the wholesale price of electricity. Can he say that this country lived through a disastrous electric power era, from 1960 until 2000? Of course not. The electric power industry was one of our success stories. The prices actually went down, in real terms, over that period. The system expanded. ...
Mr. Skilling has made an awful lot of money advocating his point of view, and I
think it's great that we have a country where everybody has the freedom to
speak, including me. But he has a self-interest in this argument, and he's
done rather well at it.
You tell the businesses of California and the consumers of California to pay
these prices for five years, and they'll spit in your eye. This is the failure
to recognize that this has an impact on human beings. If the price of
electricity goes up, bread comes off the table, food comes off the table,
clothing is not bought. For people in the lower income groups, they have to
make choices, and it creates real hardship. ...
That's an interesting theory of life. You had a system that worked. You try,
in California, the first state to really try deregulation, and it becomes a
train wreck. It blows up in your face. And so the answer to that is "Give it
time," where a more logical reaction is, why don't we just stick with what we
got? It's working. ...
The fact that the state of California has decided to take charge of its own destiny is going to leave some room for private enterprise to participate in the generation business. We are not carrying a toothpick anymore. We're carrying a club. If the private companies don't build the power plants, we can build one. ... No longer are we going to be at the end of the pipeline, caught short. If we have to go out and get our own gas resources, if we have to build a [liquid national gas] terminal somewhere so that we can import gas from all over the world, we will do it. ...
So don't feel sorry for California. We may have a little flickering of the
lights here and there this summer, but we are the first to experience the pain
of deregulation. And we're going to be the first to get rid of it in its pure
form, which is very opposite to the public interest. ...
We hope they don't go bankrupt, and I think that we worked out arrangements so
that they will not go bankrupt. But we don't see them emerging as giant power
plant builders from the ashes that they were almost in. These are companies
that are going to have to find their way over a period of years. In the
meantime, we can't wait. The system of private enterprise has failed
California in the electric power field and run us short of natural gas, so we
have decided to supplement what they do with self-help. I guess we can say
that we are now free, or becoming free. Those curves will cross about 2003.
We will have a surplus, and we will stay in surplus from now on.
The people of California, speaking as one person, will show how much
electricity we can do without. We're going to have a World War II-type
conservation effort in California this summer, and it's starting right now,
today. The governor's program will pay people not to use electricity. ...
Between the price signals and the cash and all the rebate programs, we've got
$1 billion worth of conservation programs. We're going to show these
out-of-state generators and the in-state generators that we don't need all of
their stuff at these high prices, and we will knock the top off of the demand
curve. ...
We have no choice. I don't agree with them, because they have let us down by
failing to regulate the price. But what we're saying is that we will engage in
self-help. That doesn't mean that their policies are right, because they're
not helping us with our conservation programs as they should, and they're not
putting a ceiling on prices, so they have let us down. But I'm saying to them,
"Don't feel sorry for us. We have an economy that is as large as the sixth
nation on earth, and we're united, and we have a program." But just recognize
that there is a judgment being made about what this administration thinks about
California. ...
I don't think that we know them well enough to use them. ... There are not many people that lived through the era when there was no electricity in most of America, where it took federal action to bring electricity to rural America, and where the prices were very high in other places until the public power yardstick came in and provided an example that electricity could be priced more economically. The public versus private power debate was a pretty big thing, even through President Kennedy.
But now public power has become accepted. As I mentioned to you earlier, even
in conservative areas like Nebraska and Tennessee, public power is considered
homegrown. It's no longer ideological where it's working. But it's still an
ideological issue to the religious believers in the marketplace.
I don't think it's that thoughtful. I think it's the epidemic of deregulation,
which is being inflicted on small nations around the world. They're trying to
privatize power systems and things, and it's people who have this religious
belief that if it's a private enterprise outfit, it's just got to be efficient,
and if it's public, it's just got to be inefficient, and that's just wrong.
There are just too many examples of inefficiency in the private sector and too
many examples of efficiency in the public sector. ...
Because there is an understanding of people in the marketplace that in three or
four years, we're going to have a surplus. And there were a lot of people who
took a lower price today in exchange for a contract that extended into the
years when they didn't know whether they'd have a market or not. ...
No, we gave them no guarantees about being sued for overcharging whatsoever,
and as far as the environmental law is concerned, they all know they have to
obey them. We, in some cases, said that we would pay the mitigation fees for
going beyond the limits to keep the lights on this summer.
In other words, fees they have to pay the air quality district for so much per
pound of pollutants, because I wanted to get the power generated at a
reasonable price. It's cheaper for the state to pay the mitigation fees,
because I knew what they were going to be, and the entrepreneurs didn't.
No, we didn't. The air quality districts make the rules. I just worked
closely with them. They have decided that the fees for mitigation [will be
used for] putting [traps] on diesel exhaust systems from buses that will
control more pollution than what's emitted. The net result will be a cleaner
environment.
But on the second point, there were no concessions made at all. On the first
point, it is in the public interest that those power plants operate this
summer. We have a severe shortage, and my primary job was to help keep the
lights on at as low a price as I could, and we carried that out. It's the air
quality districts that have decided, in order to cooperate with a power
emergency, that it was better to charge a fee for the pollution, let them
pollute, and then use that money to control other forms of pollution that are
even worse. That was a decision by the air quality boards.
Listen, I take this subject very, very seriously. I testified in favor of acid rain legislation when I was the chairman of the Tennessee Valley Authority. We're putting pollution control equipment on every one of our plants that we can, and we have 75,000 customers signed up for really green power, and that is renewable energy. I don't take a second place to anybody on the importance of the air quality levels, and it's a big fat lie that the air quality rules are inhibiting the construction of power plants; they're not.
The power plants weren't built because these capitalists didn't want to invest
their capital at a time when the price was low. And, of course, you've got to
comply, and of course it costs a bit more money to put pollution control
equipment in, but it's very cost-effective in terms of human health. So we are
not watering down any of the air quality laws in this crisis, and we are
calling the people who are blaming the environment for this shortage big fat
liars. ...
Sounds terrible, doesn't it? And everybody in California would give their
[eye]teeth to get the prices that we had under all that horrible regulation
back again. Deregulation promised to reduce the prices because the regulating
system was so awful. But what's happened? The prices have gone up 30 percent,
40 percent, 50 percent. So give me those good old days, I say. I think most
every other customer would like to go back there. ...
Pretty much, because so much of the electricity is powered with natural gas,
and it sets the price for all the rest in a deregulated environment. But under
regulation, if the hydro cost one cent, it was priced at one cent. But now,
everything's priced at the high price of gas.
Well, I don't call it manipulation. I think it's all legal. They're
decontrolled, and there's a shortage because they slowed up on drilling and
slowed up on building pipelines. And with a shortage and the [FERC] falling
down on the job, the price has gone through the ceiling. It's the same as
electricity, and we have a situation where we can't afford a shortage. ...
I don't know about all that stuff. I know what the cause of the high prices
is. It's the shortage in the absence of regulation. And I have no evidence
that anybody's done anything illegal. ... But do you criticize a private
company for doing what you allow them to do? It's too late for the blame game.
I'm focusing on what we need to do to pull these wagons out of the mud, and the
power authority is the vehicle to get us into surplus again. All of this
conspiracy stuff, people like to read that. But I think it's
counterproductive, because the public needs to understand that there is a real
shortage, and we need to conserve this summer.
I do.
They should, and I hold the federal government fully and completely responsible
for not doing their job. But...
Of course they're not. There's no question about that. But if the law
enforcer doesn't enforce the law, and if the cop says it's OK, do you expect
self-policing by the companies? I'm just being realistic. We ought to make it
illegal. I'd like to see an excess profits tax enacted. That hasn't been
seriously considered yet. I'd like to do something about it. I must say that
simply saying there's a conspiracy sounds good, but I haven't seen any evidence
of it. ... And before I accuse somebody of actually being a crook, I need to
have some evidence. ...
It might very well be. The state has just recently entered into the ballgame.
This is a new activity, but...
There's no question that the industry is taking us to the cleaners with a shortage. We have to buy something that we need, and there's not enough of it. This is a horrible situation. That's why we tried to enter into as many long-term contracts sooner. But we can't invent power plants, and we couldn't buy power that just wasn't available. ... You just have to recognize that there is a real shortage, and the only way to balance our budget is either through rolling blackouts that we don't control, or through conservation measures that we take on individually and voluntarily. ...
We have market power. The people, if they act out of their own self-interest,
can cut back on how much we use, to where we can avoid the brownouts and just
show a lesson to these people in Houston that we've got a way of counteracting
their tactics of holding up the price. ...
Tell Mr. Skilling to come to California, and I double-dog-dare him to go to San
Diego and pick up anybody on the street, or talk to anybody who gets their
light deal next summer, and say that to them--he'd better duck.
It's morally indefensible that we have to pay the prices that he's charging.
He lives in Texas. He can choose what he wants.
That's his point of view, and I don't really have any fundamental disagreement
with him on that particular point. But the fact of the matter is that we had
that system in California, and nobody wanted to play because there was no
savings involved. ... The deregulation system gave every consumer the right to
switch their power supplier, but the prices are so high, nobody got any savings
out of it. [Skilling's] company, Enron, came out here and said they were going
to play in the retail market, and then they withdrew.
The losers always say things were stacked against them. They came out here and
they just really didn't get the job done, and they withdrew. That's what
happened. ...
It will work if there is sufficient electricity generation so that people can
have enough. It won't work if you have a shortage, because you can't possibly
have long-term contracts for 100 percent. That's not wise, because you might
really overpay that way. So there's no question that there are a lot of
specific deficiencies in deregulation. But pointing them out is not an
argument for deregulation. They're trying to turn things on their head.
They're saying, "Deregulation was wrong because of A, B, C. Therefore, we
ought to go to deregulation." It's clever, but not persuasive.
There's a surplus and there are caps. It's not pure deregulation. It is a
hybrid of regulation and some marketplace activity. And as far as I can find
out, there have been no massive, significant decreases in price. They say it
works because it hadn't exploded yet. It worked in California the first year,
too. You could have said that. They're a couple years behind us, and I wish
them no ill. But the jury is still out on whether it's going to become a train
wreck or not. ...
They're going to look at what's happening here. And if they've got an ounce of
sense, and I think they do, they're going to at least wait and see whether that
train wreck occurs in Pennsylvania and how we get out of it. I think
deregulation is run into the California train wreck, and it's not going to go
anywhere very fast. And that is a good thing. Let's see how we work our way
out of it, and maybe there'll be a hybrid system that makes sense of public
enterprise and private enterprise reinforcing one another.
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